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John Mills asks why the intellectual ideals behind
the EU have still not led to a viable European monetary union
Monetary Union In Crisis by Bernard Moss
MacMillan Palgrave, £65
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Cllr John Mills
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MONETARY Union in Crisis is a timely reminder that many of
the problems which the European Union faces are even more deep-seated
that the current rows over the EUs Constitution and its
budget.
Why have the EU economies performed so poorly over the last 30
years, reversing the dynamism which was so widely evident for
the first quarter century after World War II?
Why is unemployment so high, the EU so little loved, and its electorate
so disaffected?
Monetary Union in Crisis traces the history of the EUs monetary
policy intellectual development and analyses what went wrong.
The success of the Bundesbank in keeping inflation in Germany
down and the Deutsche Mark competitive appeared to provide a lodestone
for a Europe wide economic policy. Unfortunately, it was not so
simple.
A combination of the distorting effect of the inflationary pressures
in the 1970s, subsequent misguided attempts to lock European economies
together with monetary union, and the disruption of the German
economy caused by reunification, rendered the conditions which
had made the Deutsche Mark so successful impossible to replicate.
Overlaying these historical developments, however, were the changes
in intellectual ideas, which Monetary Union in Crisis analyses.
Much of the driving force towards the establishment of roles and
functions the European Central Bank, for example, came not so
much from practical experience but from ideological commitment
to the monetarist theories which swept much of the world in the
1970s.
If only inflation could be held down the only policy variable
with which the European Central Bank is concerned then
all other economic goals would find their due place.
Alas, this is not what has happened. Inflation would almost certainly
have fallen anyway but the achievement of other economic goals
slipped from the EUs grasp. The relatively secure social
structure of the 1950s and 1960s was undermined by slow growth,
high unemployment and faltering public expenditure. The tax burden
was steadily shifted from companies to employees.
The dispersion of income, wealth and life chances generally became
much wider.
Unrealistic fiscal targets have led to wholesale privatisation
and the weakening of organised labours capacity to fight
for the disadvantaged.
Supposedly left of centre parties have been captured by monetarist
ideas, leaving little effective opposition to the policies which
have done so much damage.
Is there an alternative? The huge economic achievements of the
Pacific Rim countries suggests that there must be. The reality
is that, in many though not all cases, the economies in the far
East and south Asia have been much more successful that the EU
in combining rapid economic growth with building social cohesion.
In those which have developed the most effective policies, there
is less inequality and more social mobility.
Increasingly too though again not everywhere there
is more democratic accountability, a factor in which the EU is
conspicuously deficient. The globalisation of the world economy
calls for appropriate reactions everywhere. No country can be
exempt from its impact and all the evidence shows that isolationist
policies do not work. It does not follow from this, however, that
engagement with the rest of the world automatically brings success.
Everything depends on the mix of policies which are pursued and
the skill with which conflicting requirements for efficiency,
fairness, equity and social solidarity are pursued.
Monetary Union in Crisis shows how far the adoption of neo-liberal
policies, despite the long welfare state traditions in nearly
all EU countries, have led to outcomes being achieved on all the
key measures which are so much less satisfactory than might have
been possible.
Councillor John Mills runs JML, a multi-million pound
mail-order business, from Kentish Town and is the treasurer of
Camden Council.
Bernard Moss is a member of the Hampstead Labour Party.
He has written books on the French labour movement and the single
currency.
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